Market & Portfolio Update - October 2023
Global share markets declined 2.6% in local currency terms in October, as they were impacted by rising long-term bond yields. However, the NZ dollar also weakened by a similar amount, providing a significant offset for NZ-based investors.
The latest US economic manufacturing and employment data came in strong last month, demonstrating the ongoing resilience of the US economy. This economic resilience has been a key driver of the recent rise in bond yields, as investors anticipate interest rates will stay higher for longer.
Despite a lower-than-expected inflation figure, New Zealand’s bond yields followed global markets higher last month. New Zealand’s latest quarterly inflation report showed our annual inflation rate declining to 5.6%, which was lower than the Reserve Bank’s expectation of 6%. It is encouraging to see inflation trending in the right direction, but we still have a way to go until we reach the Reserve Bank’s desired target of 2%.
A look back at when the world feared the worst
On August 2, 1990, the world woke up to a grim headline: “Iraq Invades Kuwait; Oil Prices Soar, Markets Plunge.”
Saddam Hussein's forces had crossed into Kuwait, triggering fears of a prolonged conflict in the oil-rich Middle East.
The immediate market reaction was swift and severe.
Lifetime Book Club: The Let Them Theory
In a world where we spend so much energy trying to control outcomes, manage other people’s opinions, and keep everything on track, this book offers a different approach. One that suggests peace comes not from controlling more, but from letting go.