Market & Portfolio Update - May 2022
Volatility in global share markets continued in May as investors focused on inflation and rising interest rates. Despite the volatility, global share markets rebounded to end the month flat, with the energy sector leading the way (up 13.5%). The energy sector includes oil producers which benefitted from oil prices rising to $123/barrel. The European Union agreed to a partial ban on Russian oil. The ban is expected to cover 90% of Europe’s Russian oil imports by the end of this year.
As expected by markets, the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 0.5% in May. This was the largest interest rate hike since 2000, and signals the Federal Reserve’s commitment to ‘walk-the-walk’ to try to control inflation.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand also raised interest rates in May after it hiked the OCR by 0.5%. The OCR now sits at 2%, and the Reserve Bank’s updated forecasts show it reaching 4% by September of next year. While the rapid rise in interest rates has impacted portfolio returns over the last year (particularly conservative funds with a high allocation to bonds), it is important to note that market expectations have already adjusted so that a rise to 4% next year is already baked into prices of bond investments. There is a silver lining though - higher interest rates mean reinvestment rates are now much more attractive, supporting the future returns of bond investments.
The Summer Reset
Summer has a way of easing the pressure. The days feel longer, the calendar softens, and life slows just enough to remind us that not everything needs to be urgent, solved, or optimised right now. It’s a subtle shift, but a powerful one. And it’s what we like to think of as the summer reset.
Lifetime Book Club: Ikigai by Héctor García & Francesc Miralles
“The happiest people are not the ones who achieve the most. They are the ones who spend their lives doing what they love, with purpose.”
That is the central idea of Ikigai.
This is not a hustle manual or a step-by-step guide to success. It is a gentle, thoughtful exploration of what gives life meaning, and how small, intentional choices can lead to a longer, happier, more fulfilled life.