Market & Portfolio Update - January 2025
Global share markets had a positive month, ending December up +0.9% in local currency terms. This caps off a strong year, with global share markets up +26% in 2024.
The US was the primary driver of global returns, as inflation cooled and consumer spending remained strong throughout the year. Investors were also bullish on strong earnings growth for tech companies, and stocks surged following Donald Trump’s re-election in November.
The New Zealand share market also had a strong year, ending up +12% in 2024 – its best performance since 2020. Some of this gain is attributable to investors anticipating a more positive business environment. Starting with an initial cut in August, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cut rates by a total of 1.25% during the year. These cuts were in response to domestic inflation falling from 4.7% to 2.2% in 2024, back within the RBNZ’s target range of 1-3%.
A look back at when the world feared the worst
On August 2, 1990, the world woke up to a grim headline: “Iraq Invades Kuwait; Oil Prices Soar, Markets Plunge.”
Saddam Hussein's forces had crossed into Kuwait, triggering fears of a prolonged conflict in the oil-rich Middle East.
The immediate market reaction was swift and severe.
Lifetime Book Club: The Let Them Theory
In a world where we spend so much energy trying to control outcomes, manage other people’s opinions, and keep everything on track, this book offers a different approach. One that suggests peace comes not from controlling more, but from letting go.