Market & Portfolio Update - January 2025
Global share markets had a positive month, ending December up +0.9% in local currency terms. This caps off a strong year, with global share markets up +26% in 2024.
The US was the primary driver of global returns, as inflation cooled and consumer spending remained strong throughout the year. Investors were also bullish on strong earnings growth for tech companies, and stocks surged following Donald Trump’s re-election in November.
The New Zealand share market also had a strong year, ending up +12% in 2024 – its best performance since 2020. Some of this gain is attributable to investors anticipating a more positive business environment. Starting with an initial cut in August, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cut rates by a total of 1.25% during the year. These cuts were in response to domestic inflation falling from 4.7% to 2.2% in 2024, back within the RBNZ’s target range of 1-3%.
Market & Portfolio Update: February 2026
The global share market (represented by the MSCI World Gross Index) returned +1.4% in New Zealand dollar terms, despite many listed software companies facing pressure during the month. Investors are questioning how durable some software companies’ competitive advantages really are, as developments in artificial intelligence (AI) may make it easier to replicate their software. Nonetheless, the broader market tone was more resilient as investors continued to favour industries related to AI infrastructure.
Lifetime Book Club: The Almanack of Naval Ravikant by Eric Jorgenson
In a world that often confuses busyness with success and income with wealth, this book offers a different perspective. One that suggests true wealth is freedom. Freedom over your time. Freedom over your decisions. Freedom to live life on your own terms.