Market & Portfolio Update - February 2024
Markets have started 2024 on the front foot, with global shares up almost 10% in New Zealand dollar terms. The theme of AI integration and its impact on companies continues to play an important role, with technology businesses leading the market.
We also saw an important RBNZ meeting held during the month, with the Reserve Bank holding the Official Cash Rate steady at 5.5%. We gained more clarity on the path to lowering interest rates, with the RBNZ expecting that we may see cuts early in 2025. As a result, we saw banks begin to lower mortgage rates (albeit marginally).
The New Zealand share market saw the latest round of financial reporting, where companies report either their half-year or full-year financial results. Overall, these results fell short of expectations, contributing to the -1.1% return for the New Zealand share market last month. Despite this, there were standout performances, notably from A2 Milk, which surged 20% following robust results. A2 Milk has continued to take market share in a competitive Chinese infant formula market.
A look back at when the world feared the worst
On August 2, 1990, the world woke up to a grim headline: “Iraq Invades Kuwait; Oil Prices Soar, Markets Plunge.”
Saddam Hussein's forces had crossed into Kuwait, triggering fears of a prolonged conflict in the oil-rich Middle East.
The immediate market reaction was swift and severe.
Lifetime Book Club: The Let Them Theory
In a world where we spend so much energy trying to control outcomes, manage other people’s opinions, and keep everything on track, this book offers a different approach. One that suggests peace comes not from controlling more, but from letting go.